NineCatHoops
Real 2026-27 data (built 2026-10-03). Stats from NBA.com (via sportsdataverse); schedule, rosters and injuries from ESPN. ADP is a placeholder from our own rankings until market ADP is added. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the NBA, its teams, ESPN or Yahoo.

Marvin Bagley III

Denver Nuggets · PF · age 27.9 · ranked 239 (delivered value -4.19)

Projection per game

Minutes18.7
Games49 of 82
Points9.7
Rebounds5.5
Assists1.3
3-pointers0.4
Steals / blocks0.5 / 0.6
Turnovers1.0
FG%0.590 on 6.6 attempts
FT%0.680 on 2.2 attempts

Category z-scores

FG% +1.05
FT% -0.90
3PM -1.27
PTS -1.17
REB -0.16
AST -1.17
STL -1.60
BLK -0.14
TO +1.17

Stats behind the numbers

SeasonGPMPG PTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOFG%FT%
2022-234223.6 12.06.40.90.50.50.71.1 .529 (4.8/9.1).751 (1.9/2.6)
2023-245021.1 11.76.21.10.20.40.71.2 .586 (4.8/8.2).762 (1.9/2.5)
2024-25318.6 4.42.70.30.10.30.30.4 .518 (1.8/3.4).655 (0.7/1.1)
2025-266020.0 10.46.11.40.40.50.71.0 .618 (4.2/6.8).658 (1.6/2.4)
Projection 2026-274918.7 9.75.51.30.40.50.61.0 .590 (3.9/6.6).680 (1.5/2.2)

Sources: NBA.com player stats via sportsdataverse (pss_2023.csv, pss_2024.csv, pss_2025.csv, pss_2026.csv, fetched 2026-10-03); projection built 2026-10-03 (method: SPS 6/3/1 season weights with a 1,000-minute league-average prior; games from a linear model on his history, capped at 78).

Next games

80 games this season. Full schedule

2026-10-22@ Oklahoma City Thunder
2026-10-24vs New Orleans Pelicans
2026-10-26vs Golden State Warriors
2026-10-28@ New Orleans Pelicans
2026-10-30@ Phoenix Suns
2026-11-02vs Portland Trail Blazers
2026-11-04vs Toronto Raptors
2026-11-07@ Indiana Pacers
2026-11-09@ Houston Rockets
2026-11-11@ Memphis Grizzlies
2026-11-14@ New Orleans Pelicans
2026-11-16vs Phoenix Suns

Ranking history

Every build of the rankings is recorded; each row says why he moved since the one before.

DateRankValueMPGGPTeamADPWhy
2026-10-03239-4.1918.749DEN–first recorded